Markets
New model tops the LMArena board before October?
$841k Vol.$291k liquidityCloses Oct 1, 2026
72%chance▲ 6¢
PriceShares
42¢12,400
41¢8,900
40¢21,600
39¢6,150
38¢ mid1¢ spread
38¢18,200
37¢9,400
36¢14,800
35¢26,300
Rules
Fixed when the market openedResolution source
LMArena public leaderboard
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Method
Optimistic oracle — a proposer posts a bond, then a 2-hour challenge window
If disputed
Escalates to a token-holder vote over 48 hours; a frivolous dispute forfeits the bond
If undeterminable
Voided — every position refunded at cost, no rake
Rules can't be edited once trading opens. Any amendment needs dual approval and is logged publicly on the proof page.
BuyMarket order
AmountBalance 358,000 sats
$
- Shares
- 69.4
- Avg price
- 72¢
- Taker fee (0.10%)
- $0.05
- Debited from balance
- 79,365 sats
- Fee on profit (1%)
- $0.19
- If you're right
- +$19.25
- Max loss
- −$50.00
Sell any time before close — you're not locked in until resolution. Losing shares settle at zero and are never charged a fee.